In his final speech as president in 2020, Trump warned that his movement had begun, suggesting that the best was to do it. Analysts have identified the danger of underestimating him, in particular by transferring his surprising earlier electoral victory. With Kamala Harris in a united kingdom, it opens up the possibility that Trump will be relegated, which could have a significant impact on international politics.
Russia and Ukraine
Trump's relationship with Putin and his position towards NATO could delay Europe and Ukraine, which are vulnerable to Russia. Sanctions and military aid could be reduced, escalating the conflict.
Europe
Trump could weaken alliances with NATO and maintain relations with the EU, also influencing countries like Spain, especially in matters of trade and defense.
Israel and Gaza
A Trump regression could mean an unconditional effect for Israel, complicating peace in the Middle East and influencing state policy towards Arab countries.
China
Trump is known for his hard-line stance against China, and his response could escalate trade tensions, impacting the global economy.
Latin America
Trump's restrictive migration policy will especially affect Mexico and other Latin American nations, while his approach could change bilateral relations, particularly with Venezuela.
Arctic and Climate Change
Anticipate that Trump may again abandon the Paris Arc and promote resource exploitation in the Arctic.
In summary, Trump's return will bring about significant changes globally, influencing alliances, conflicts and international politics in general.
